By Krishna Hari Pushkar
"Who Cares?" Climate Change Is Pushing Nepal Towards Economic Catastrophe
Nepal is at a complex vent of climate sensitive spot in the world
because of its landlocked and fragile plate tectonic geoseismological
characteristics. It is a small south Asian country located between two
giant countries China and India. It shares high diversity in natural
ecology includeing high mountain ranges to plain lands, swift seasonal
cycles and itsuffers unexpected climate tragedy on a regular basis.
Now warming in Nepal is growing faster than the average global
warming temperature. Temperatures measured in Nepal varies from minus
thirty degree Celsius to plus forty degree Celsius in a single day,
within less than hundred miles of the country. The livelihood of the
majority of people is dependent on agricultural earnings and
exploitation of natural resources. The ongoing developments are very
expensive and climate sensitive, they are mostly associated with water,
roads, hydroelectric power etc. Climate induced disasters (floods,
landslides, acidic/less/more/unseasonal rains, soil erosion, and
seasonal/temperature changes, deforestation, droughts, intensive
decrease in agricultural productivity) are the major problems and impact
of climate disposition.
Climate induced disaster and its impact cost is a huge financial
portion of our GDP which is going beyond the affordability of the
country and its development partners.
Remarkably, Nepal is a big victim of climate change, though it
contributes a negligible portion of global pollution. Statistically
analyzed economic status justified that Nepal is no longer in a position
to afford the economic impact of climate change. Although, in
cooperation and collaboration with various domestic and international
development partners, the Government of Nepal has also taken several
initiatives to respond to the contemporary challenges and issues of
climate change which must be considered as a praiseworthy role.
Nepal has established an environment ministry and related department
and taken other policy and legislative initiatives, launched programs
and projects, promoted nationwide mainstreaming of the climate change
sensitivity, undertaken a wide range of international and domestic
lobbying. Nepal also has strong partnerships with line and staff
agencies inside and outside the country, considered to be aggressive
actions and definitely a step ahead towards positive achievements.
In addition to domestic legislation and executive instruments,
Nepal's Government has already owned several international,
intergovernmental, regional, multilateral and bilateral instruments that
justify that the country is really serious and active to take all types
of possible action to minimize the impact of climate change. Let's
encourage Nepal to support its mission against climate change.
The government is also mobilizing and working with nongovernmental
agencies and has already set up customized types of broader technical
and generalized special mechanisms in several ministries and their
departments (prime minister office, home, agricultural, environment,
industry, national planning commission, physical planning etc.) to
minimize the vulnerability and potential risk of climate change.
Therefore, all concerned stakeholders should concentrate to save the
tiny Himalaya nation otherwise it will drag soon into economic
catastrophe and will lose its existence from the active global
partnership.
The economic impact of climate change may be discussed in several
brief categories. Firstly, let's argue about livelihood perspective in
Nepalese context. Approximately 80% of Nepal's population is dependent
on agriculture and associated activities. It shares 40% contribution in
total GDP of Nepal. People are hooked on natural and herbal products,
forest and jungle products, river and lake, hills and mountain products.
There are many more natural areas where they are able to earn and
manage their livelihood, so any unexpected negative changes in the
natural climate system is dangerous to their livelihood, which may
obviously lead to serious economic deficit in individual and also the
national account of the country.
Secondly, agronomic perspective is greatly impacted by climate
change. A majority of the agricultural area of Nepal still depends on
natural rainfall/irrigation, and crop friendly environment, but the
unexpected droughts, acidic and abnormal rainfall, landslides, changes
in geographical shape and dramatic changes in temperature have caused
much damage to the agricultural productivity of the nation. These
problems devastate the income and products of the farmers, and causes
them serious economic difficulties. Consequently many people are
severely frustrated by the agricultural sector and are changing their
occupations. Our thousands of acres of agrarian lands are unattended and
unproductive, create massive economic loss and this is a threat to our
national economy and is causing major food deficits.
Thirdly, Nepal has become an epicenter of disasters. It includes
regular floods, landslides, droughts, ozone layer changes, dramatic
weather/temperature changes etc. Nepal very often encounters horrible
disasters and it has become the unmanageable fate of Nepalese people.
Annually, Nepal has lost hundreds of people and billions of dollars of
monetary loss due to disasters that no one can prevent or afford, if it
happens regularly. Every year the size of disaster sensitive budget is
being almost doubled to deal with the issues and impact of climate
change. Indirect investment cost is several times higher than the direct
visible investment against climate change. Multimillion dollar projects
are going on in soft and hard side of the management areas to respond
to the issues. The disaster issues related to water induced problems are
very expensive. It is almost impossible to afford from the country's
national budget. Also, the agricultural cycle and process is becoming
more complex and costly every year, and that has added an additional
burden to the national economy and people of Nepal. The estimated cost
of the events in disaster area is now estimated around $400
million/year.
Fourthly, hydroelectric is deeply affected by climate change. Load
shedding for up to 18 hours per day causes many areas to have no ligh or
power at all. Nepal is rich in water resources and has higher energy
potentiality but the country is suffering with regular load shedding,
absence of electricity due to unpredictable changes in water level and
flows of rivers and lakes. The production cost of hydroelectricity is
dramatically changing and being overwhelmingly higher and unaffordable.
Fifthly, Nepalese health is now at critical risk due to the brutal
impact of climate change. It is because Nepalese living style and
livelihood is over-dependent on nature and its byproducts.
The majority of Nepalese habitation, homes, workplaces are not built
or prepared in a climate sensitive manner so they are quickly affected
if there are any unexpected changes in climate. Some climate sensitive
diseases are on the rise in Nepal and treatment cost is estimated to be
higher than other diseases. It is believed that every family has two
members who are suffering with some kind of critical disease brought on
by climate change. So they are undergoing treatment in Nepal and abroad
which is estimated to cost $3 billion per year but it requires further
study to conclude the amount and degree exactly. Also, people are
compelled to change their houses locations from one place to another
place due to impact of disasters and other environmental changes that
also cost a lot of money.
Sixthly, Nepal government has set up several administrative
institutional mechanism, program, activities under ministry of
environment and other line and staff agencies that cost annual estimated
$ 4 billion per year for operation and management. Additionally, Nepal
Government is a part of several international communities and events so
just to fulfill domestic and international commitment Government has to
spend billions of US dollar to meet the contingency and other need of
the issue.
However, people and government of Nepal are serious and really
started to pay attention to be together with world movement to fight
against climate change and minimize its impact in aggressive manner.
Consequently, Nepal has ratified and part of almost all concerned
international instruments related to climate change and some of them are
positively under considerations. The country has addressed the issue by
addressing under its constitution to give high priority as
constitutional issue. Besides, there are several policies and
legislative infrastructures and sectorial plans, programs and activities
which are now in the hand that deals with the impact of climate change
specially in economic areas of the country. But in reality, the impact
is so huge and country is small to encounter it. Simply it is unfordable
to the country and its people. It won't be a surprise if the country
declares bankrupt in economic sense to afford the needy expenses alone
for climate change. Must be taken into account that Nepal is the country
where it is estimated that more than 70% people are still struggling to
fulfil its basic need of life as per average wellbeing standard of the
world.
Therefore, everyone should understand that climate change issue is a
global issue and latter or sooner it affects to all. Thus, we all
stakeholders of the planet should come together and careful about the
future. All should join hand to each other collaboratively to fight
against the impact of climate change regardless its geography, class,
age, sex, ethnicity, profession and locations. We must care and act
responsibly about our present and future generations. We have the
responsibility to save the world for happy and prosperous future. Let's
live and do let all living beings/creatures of the world to live them in
natural manner. In this context, Nepal is a small stakeholder who
pollutes less but affected more. Hence, all should help and contribute
Nepal to fund and provide necessary support to fight against the climate
changes. Let's start together right now, without any delay to help
Nepal and its people to strengthen the movement in effective way against
climate change otherwise the country will soon move towards economic
catastrophe, if the situation is not addressed properly by all leading
global members, country or institutions of the world.
Source: http://newsblaze.com/story/20140908114207abha.nb/topstory.html